Recently, the market demand for stainless steel flanges has stabilized, and the economic growth rate has basically bottomed out. Market demand plays a decisive role in economic growth. In 2015, the growth trend of consumption, export, and investment demand is expected to stabilize. Based on this, it can be judged that the economic growth rate has basically bottomed out. The world economy continues to recover, and although there are risks, it is unlikely that the growth rate of stainless steel flange exports will further decline.
The forecast values ​​of China's economy and global economic growth agree that the recovery of the US economy in 2015 will be a bright spot, and the European economy will continue to grow despite increasing difficulties. Improved stability.
Judging from the situation of stainless steel flange export enterprises in my country, it is also entering a period of relatively stable competitiveness. In the period when the financial crisis continued to reduce the level of international market demand, it was also a period when the cost of my country's stainless steel flange export enterprises continued to increase and the competitiveness of relying on low-cost support continued to weaken. This is another important reason for the decline in the export growth rate of stainless steel flanges. .
During the period when the external market of stainless steel flanges is gradually stabilizing, my country's export enterprises have gradually formed new competitiveness in R&D capabilities, brand competitiveness, cost management capabilities and workforce quality after several years of efforts, and gradually replaced low-cost support The competitiveness of stainless steel flange export enterprises began to enter a period of decline from decline to stability.
Consumption continues to maintain steady growth. The actual growth rate of consumption in 2015 is expected to be around 10.5%. In recent years, the policy effect of ensuring employment is relatively obvious, and the employment situation is relatively good. Under the support of factors such as the relatively good development momentum of the service industry and the development of small and micro enterprises, especially the support of the steady growth policy with the bottom line of ensuring employment, it is expected that the employment situation in 2015 will still be good. The increase in employment and the implementation of the government's policy to ensure basic people's livelihood are expected to continue to support the steady growth of urban and rural residents' income, which in turn supports the steady growth of consumption.
In addition, the market adjustment of stainless steel butt welding flange is expected to flatten in 2015, and its negative impact on consumption is expected to weaken. Based on these circumstances, the actual growth rate of consumption in 2015 is expected to be around 10.5%. Investment growth will generally stabilize, and the investment growth rate in 2015 is expected to be around 16%.
First of all, the decline in the growth rate of stainless steel flange investment is expected to end. At present, stainless steel flange development enterprises are mainly concentrated in big cities, and the primary difficulty is the difficulty of selling stainless steel flanges.
Secondly, the current government-led infrastructure investment has generally formed a sustainable model. Specifically, it includes: increasing infrastructure investment funds by optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditures; giving full play to the role of fiscal funds in allocating thousands of pounds, and actively guiding private investment to participate in infrastructure construction; selecting infrastructure investment projects, and combining them with regional economic coordinated development and new urbanization goals, in Strengthen the construction of major cross-regional infrastructure, urban underground infrastructure, and environmental protection and information infrastructure; maintain a reasonable level of growth, etc.
Although some local governments are currently experiencing difficulties such as debt maturities and weakening of land finances, considering that my country's fiscal deficit ratio is relatively low, the scale of government debt is still within the risk line, and government debts all correspond to certain assets, fiscal funds and bank funds. There is still room for manoeuvre.